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HM: EV-Berechnung???

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HM: EV-Berechnung??? - 03-12-2009, 15:25
(#1)
Benutzerbild von henner85
Since: Dec 2007
Posts: 216
Es geht um folgende Hand:


PokerStars Game #36183254244: Hold'em No Limit ($0.10/$0.25 USD) - 2009/12/03 13:59:43 CET [2009/12/03 7:59:43 ET]
Table 'Ciurlionis III' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: henner85 ($28.75 in chips)
Seat 2: gzp74 ($17.90 in chips)
Seat 3: Joshua_Biff ($61.20 in chips)
Seat 4: alanshore889 ($25.70 in chips)
Seat 5: hitman0228 ($25 in chips)
Seat 6: zetsu90 ($40.05 in chips)
gzp74: posts small blind $0.10
Joshua_Biff: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to henner85 [5s 4s]
alanshore889: folds
hitman0228: raises $0.75 to $1
zetsu90: folds
henner85: calls $1
gzp74: folds
Joshua_Biff: folds
*** FLOP *** [6s Jc 3s]
hitman0228: bets $1.50
henner85: raises $4.25 to $5.75
hitman0228: calls $4.25
*** TURN *** [6s Jc 3s] [8c]
hitman0228: checks
henner85: bets $22 and is all-in
hitman0228: calls $18.25 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($3.75) returned to henner85
*** RIVER *** [6s Jc 3s 8c] [2h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
hitman0228: shows [Qc Qd] (a pair of Queens)
henner85: shows [5s 4s] (a straight, Deuce to Six)
henner85 collected $47.90 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $50.35 | Rake $2.45
Board [6s Jc 3s 8c 2h]
Seat 1: henner85 (button) showed [5s 4s] and won ($47.90) with a straight, Deuce to Six
Seat 2: gzp74 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: Joshua_Biff (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: alanshore889 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: hitman0228 showed [Qc Qd] and lost with a pair of Queens
Seat 6: zetsu90 folded before Flop (didn't bet)


Alles wichtige zusammengefasst:
auf dem turn habe ich 34% equity, der Pot beträgt 13,85, die effektive Stacksize 18,25 und ich shove....wie berechne ich hier meinen EV?

ich würde es wie folgt machen:

0,34* (18,25+13,85) - 0,66 * 18,25 = -1,13
daraus folgt, dass ich knappe 10% FE benötige

HEM sagt: 22,9$ gewonnen
EV $ Diff: -31,57

EV folglich bei -9 oder so


kann mir irgendjemand erklären, was ich falsch mache?